Predictions for 2017

Posted on December 31, 2016

Here are my predictions for 2017, such as they are. The idea is to develop the skill of prediction by making and testing them somewhat regularly. I don't expect to do super well.

Judgment date is January 1 2018.

I'm aiming mostly for calibration, but will also compute cross entropy.

Politics

Technology

Personal life

Personal work

Media

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